Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, pamberi pemamiriro ekunze akaoma uye akaomarara uye akanyanya kukurumidza uye akaomarara emhando yepamusoro mabasa ekusimudzira pasi pemamiriro ezvinhu matsva, indasitiri yemachira yenyika yangu yakazadzisa zvizere kuita sarudzo uye kutumirwa kweParty Central. Komiti uye State Council, uye yakanamatira kuhurongwa hwese hwebasa hweshoko rakadzikama uye kufambira mberi kwakadzikama.Chinokosha ndechekuenderera mberi nekusimudzira shanduko nekusimudzira zvakadzama.Nekukurumidza uye kwakagadzikana shanduko yekudzivirira uye kutonga kwedenda repamba uye nekukasira kudzoreredzwa kwekugadzirwa uye kurongeka kwekugara, mamiriro emabhizinesi emachira ari kutangazve basa uye kugadzira kwagara kugadzikana kubva paMutambo weChirimo.Musika wekutengesa wepamba wakaratidza maitiro ekudzoreredza.The rebound, zvinhu zvakanaka zvinoramba zvichiunganidza.Nekudaro, zvakakanganiswa nezvinhu zvakaita sekuvandudzwa kusimba mukudiwa kwemusika uye mamiriro akaomarara uye anoshanduka epasirese, zviratidziro zvekushanda kwehupfumi zvakaita sekugadzira, kudyara, uye kugona kweindasitiri yemachira mukota yekutanga zvaive zvichiri padanho rakaderera uye pasi. pressure.
Tichitarisira gore rose, mamiriro ekusimudzira eindasitiri yemachira achiri akaoma uye akaoma.Pachine njodzi dzakawanda dzekunze dzakaita sekusakwana kwekusimba kwekusimbaradza kwehupfumi hwenyika, kusimuka kwakawedzera kushanduka kwemusika wezvemari wepasi rose, uye shanduko dzakaoma dzezvematongerwo enyika.Zvinhu zvine njodzi senge kusasimba kwekunze kudiwa, kwakaomarara kutengeserana kwepasirese nharaunda, uye yakakwira mutengo wemidziyo Pasi pemamiriro ezvinhu, hwaro hweindasitiri yemachira kuti igadzikane nekuvandudza ichiri kufanira kubatanidzwa.
Kubudirira kwese kweindasitiri kwakawedzera zvakanyanya
Mamiriro ekugadzira anochinja zvishoma
Kubva paMutambo weChirimo, sekukanganisa kwedenda kwakadzikira zvishoma nezvishoma, kutenderera kwemusika wepamba kuri kuramba kuchikwira, kushandiswa kwakakwira, uye kubudirira kwese kweindasitiri yemachira kwaratidza maitiro akakosha ekudzoreredza, uye chivimbo chekusimudzira makambani uye tarisiro yemusika. zvakabatanidzwa.Zvinoenderana neongororo uye kuverenga kweChina National Textile uye Apparel Council, iyo yakazara budiriro indekisi yeindasitiri yemachira yenyika mukota yekutanga yaive 55.6%, yaive 13 uye 8.6 muzana mapoinzi akakwira kupfuura panguva imwecheteyo gore rapfuura uye kota yechina ye2022, kudzosera 50% kubudirira uye kuderera mutsetse kubva 2022. Inotevera contraction mamiriro.
Nekudaro, nekuda kwekushaikwa kwemusika wemumba neyekunze uye nepamusoro pegore rapfuura, mamiriro ekugadzirwa kweindasitiri yemachira akachinja zvishoma.Zvinoenderana neNational Bureau of Statistics, huwandu hwekushandisa huwandu hweindasitiri yemachira uye indasitiri yemakemikari fiber mukota yekutanga yaive 75.5% uye 82.1% zvichiteerana.Kunyangwe ivo vaive 2.7 uye 2.1 muzana mapoinzi akaderera pane imwecheteyo nguva gore rapfuura, vaive vachiri vakakwira kupfuura iyo 74.5% chiyero chekushandisa kweindasitiri yekugadzira panguva imwe chete..Muchikamu chekutanga, maindasitiri akawedzera kukosha kwemabhizinesi pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa muindasitiri yemachira yakadzikira ne3.7% gore negore, uye kukura kwakadzikira ne8.6 muzana zvichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana gore rapfuura.Iyo indasitiri yakawedzera kukosha kwekemikari fiber, mvere dzemachira, kuruka filament uye mamwe maindasitiri akawana zvakanaka gore negore kukura.
Musika wepamba unoramba uchikwira
Export pressure iri kuratidza
Muchikamu chekutanga, pasi perutsigiro rwezvinhu zvakanaka senge kudzoreredza kwakazara kwenzvimbo yekushandisa, kuwedzera kwekuda kwemusika kudya, kuedza kwemutemo wenyika kusimudzira kudyiwa, uye kushandiswa panguva yezororo reMutambo weChirimo, Musika wemicheka wemba uye wembatya wakaramba uchikwira, uye kutengesa kwepamhepo nekunze panguva imwe chete kwakakura nekukurumidza.Zvinoenderana nedata kubva kuNational Bureau of Statistics, mukota yekutanga, kutengeswa kwembatya, shangu neheti, uye machira akarukwa muzvikamu pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa munyika yangu kwakawedzera ne9% gore negore, uye mwero wekukura wakawedzera ne9.9 muzana kubva panguva imwechete yegore rapfuura.Kumberi.Munguva imwecheteyo, kutengesa kwekutengesa kwezvigadzirwa zvekupfeka zvepamhepo kwakawedzera ne8.6% gore-pa-gore, uye mwero wekukura wakawedzera ne7.7 muzana kubva panguva imwechete yegore rapfuura.Kupora kwacho kwaive kwakasimba kupfuura kwechikafu uye zvinhu zvevatengi.
Kubva kutanga kwegore rino, zvakakanganiswa nezvinhu zvakaoma sekudzikira kwekuda kwekunze, kukwikwidza kwakasimba, uye njodzi dziri kuwedzera munzvimbo yekutengeserana, indasitiri yezvigadzirwa zvemachira iri pasi pekumanikidzwa kwekutengesa kunze.Sekureva kweChina Customs data, machira emunyika yangu nembatya anotengesa kunze mukota yekutanga akasvika US$67.23 bhiriyoni, kuderera kwegore negore kwe6.9%, uye kukura kwakadzikira ne17.9 percent kubva panguva imwe cheteyo gore rapfuura.Pakati pezvinhu zvikuru zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika, mutengo wekutengesa kunze kwenyika wemicheka waiva 32.07 bhiriyoni US madhora, gore negore kuderera kwe12.1%, uye kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwezvinhu zvinotsigira zvakadai semachira emucheka zvaive pachena;kutengeswa kwembatya kunze kwenyika kwakagadzikana uye kwakadzikira zvishoma, paine kukosha kwe35.16 bhiriyoni yemadhora ekuAmerica, kuderera kwegore negore kwe1.3%.Pakati pemisika mikuru yekutengesa kunze kwenyika, machira emunyika yangu nembatya anotengesa kunze kuUnited States, European Union, neJapan akadzikira ne18.4%, 24.7%, uye 8.7% gore negore zvichiteerana, uye machira nembatya zvinotengeswa kumisika pamwe chete. iyo "Belt uye Road" uye RCEP vatengesi vekutengesa vakawedzera ne1.6% uye 8.7% zvakateerana.2%.
Kuderera kwemabhenefiti kwakadzikira
Chiyero chekudyara chakaderedzwa zvishoma
Nekuda kwemutengo wakakwira wezvigadzirwa uye kusakwana kwemusika kudiwa, zviratidzo zvehupfumi zveindasitiri yemachira zvakaramba zvichidzikira kubva pakutanga kwegore rino, asi pane zviratidzo zvekunatsiridza zvishoma.Zvinoenderana nedata reNational Bureau of Statistics, mukota yekutanga, mari yekushandisa uye purofiti yakazara yemabhizimusi makumi matatu nenomwe ezvipfeko pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa munyika yakadzikira ne7.3% uye 32.4% gore-negore, zvichiteerana, izvo zvaive 37,000 uye 23.2 muzana mapoinzi yakaderera pane imwecheteyo nguva gore rapfuura, asi kuderera kwaive kwakaderera pane kuya kwaNdira kusvika Kukadzi gore rino.Zvichienderana yakatetepa 0.9 uye 2.1 muzana mapoinzi.Mubairo wemari yekushanda yemabhizinesi pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa waingove 2.4%, kudzikira kwe0.9 muzana kubva panguva imwechete yegore rapfuura, iro raive danho rakaderera mumakore achangopfuura.Muchikamu cheindasitiri, maindasitiri emvere dzemakwai, sirika, uye filament chete ndiwo akawana kukura kwakanaka mumari yekushandisa, ukuwo indasitiri yemachira ekumba yakawana kukura kunodarika 20% mupurofiti yakazara inotsigirwa nekudzoreredza kudiwa kwemba.Muchikamu chekutanga, huwandu hwekuchinja kwezvinhu zvakapedzwa uye huwandu hwekuchinja kwezvinhu zvese zvemabhizinesi emachira pamusoro pehukuru hwakatarwa hwakadzikira ne7.5% uye 9.3% zvichiteerana gore negore;reshiyo yezvitatu zvakashandiswa yaive 7.2%, uye asset-liability reshiyo yaive 57.8%, iyo yainyanya kuchengetedzwa mumhando inonzwisisika.
Pasi pesimba rezvinhu zvakadai sekusagadzikana kwetarisiro yemusika, kuwedzera purofiti, uye hwaro hwepamusoro mugore rapfuura, chiyero chekudyara cheindasitiri yemachira chakaratidza kudzikiswa zvishoma kubva pakutanga kwegore rino.4.3%, 3.3% uye 3.5%, kuvimba kwebhizinesi rekudyara kuchiri kuda kuvandudzwa.
Mamiriro ebudiriro achiri kuomarara
Shingairira kusimudzira kwemhando yepamusoro
Muchikamu chekutanga, kunyangwe indasitiri yemachira yenyika yanga yakamanikidzwa pakutanga, kubva munaKurume, zviratidzo zvekushandisa zvakaratidza zvishoma nezvishoma maitiro ekudzoreredza, uye kugona kweiyo indasitiri yekudzivirira njodzi uye kusimba kwekusimudzira zvakaramba zvichiburitswa.Tichitarisira gore rose, mamiriro ekusimudzira akatarisana neindasitiri yemachira ichiri yakaoma uye yakaoma, asi zvinhu zvakanaka zviri kuunganidza uye kuwedzera.Iyo indasitiri inotarisirwa kudzoka zvishoma nezvishoma kune yakagadzikana yekudzoreredza track, asi kuchine njodzi dzakawanda nematambudziko ekukunda.
Kubva pakuona kwezvinhu zvine ngozi, tarisiro yekudzorera yemusika wepasi rose haina chokwadi, inflation yepasi rose ichiri padanho repamusoro, njodzi yehurongwa hwemari iri kuwedzera, uye huwandu hwekushandisa kwemusika uye kuvimba kwevatengi kunowedzera zvishoma nezvishoma;Mamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika akaomarara uye ari kusimukira, uye mamiriro ekunze ekutengeserana ekunze anokanganisa kutora chikamu kwakadzama kweindasitiri yemachira yenyika yangu mukukwanisa kugadzirwa kwepasirese.Kudyidzana kunounza kusava nechokwadi kwakawanda.Kunyangwe hazvo hupfumi hwemukati menyika hwakadzikama uye huchiwedzera, hwaro hwekuenderera mberi kwekuvandudza mukudiwa kwemba uye mashandisirwo haasati akasimba, uye madhindindi ekushanda akadai semitengo yakakwira uye kudzvanywa kwepurofiti kuchiri kukwira.Nekudaro, kubva pakuona kwakanaka, nyika yangu nyowani koronavirus yekudzivirira uye kutonga kwakapinda zvizere padanho idzva, ichigadzira akakosha mamiriro ekusimudzira indasitiri yemachira.Muchikamu chekutanga, GDP yenyika yangu yakakura ne4.5% gore negore.Iwo macro misimboti ari kuramba achivandudza, musika wepamusoro-hombe-yakakura-inodiwa mudzimba iri kupora zvishoma nezvishoma, nzvimbo yekushandiswa iri kudzoka zvizere, maindasitiri ketani ekupa zvinhu ari kuramba achivandudza, uye kurongeka nekushandira pamwe kweakasiyana macro policy kuchaumba kusimudzira kwakabatana. .Simba rakabatana rekuenderera mberi kudzoreredza kwezvinodiwa zvemumba zvinopa musimboti wekutyaira simba rekudzoreredza kupora kweindasitiri yemachira.Seindasitiri yemazuvano ine raramo yevanhu uye fashoni, indasitiri yemachira icharamba ichitora mukana wemusika pahwaro hwenzvimbo dziri kusimukira dzevatengi dzakadai se "hutano hukuru", "nyika yemafungu" uye "inogoneka".Nerutsigiro rwemusika wepamba, iyo indasitiri yemachira inozodzokera zvishoma nezvishoma kune yakagadzikana track yeyakadzama gadziriso yemaitiro uye yemhando yepamusoro kusimudzira muna 2023.
Indasitiri yemachira ichazadzisa zvizere mweya we20th National Congress yeCommunist Party yeChina uye sarudzo dzakakodzera uye kutumirwa kweCentral Economic Work Conference, inoteedzera toni yakajairika "yekutsvaga kufambira mberi uchichengetedza kugadzikana", ramba uchibatanidza hwaro hwekudzikamisa uye kudzoreredza, mhanyisa kuunganidza uye kuwedzera kusimba kwemhando yepamusoro budiriro, uye edza kuchengetedza indasitiri yeketani Iyo yekugovera cheni yakagadzikana uye yakachengeteka, uye indasitiri yemachira icharamba ichiita basa rakanaka mukuona kupihwa, kusimudzira mudzimba. kudiwa, kuvandudza basa nemari, nezvimwewo, kuitira kusimudzira kuenderera mberi kwekuvandudzwa kwekushanda kwehupfumi hweindasitiri uye kupedzisa zvinangwa nemabasa ekusimudzira hupfumi nemagariro gore rose.batsira.
Nguva yekutumira: Jun-28-2023